NAVGEM and Euro seem to be in agreement which would be worst case scenario for me, GFS is just east of them and still very bad, just not the extreme shit show it would be if it follows NAV/Euro track I am packed and ready to head out when it gets closer.
Hurricane Live Hollywood Beach From a rooftop in Key West Southern Most Beach Resort https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eNCwj35OwmI Key West Seaport Cam https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TYEXQdUFha8 Duval St live cam https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PbAh78NvJZk
part II Mallory Square https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KUwIkt56IIQ Marathon Key live cam https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gaErEed7UPI Miami Beach https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k8IlHuZJUEI Fort Myers https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZsK-P1zxCWk Split Screen of Four Cams https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JZvTR7861Yk
With the way these models went back and forth with Irma it makes it hard to know when you need to worry
I hope all you guys are ok,,,,,,,Jay or anyone else,,,weather novice here / cbg -->this turn North has not happened yet and I think it is already West of when most guidance said it would turn North am I wrong ? Also now 10 pm and everyone thought this would turn MUCH earlier . Could something else be influencing the turn North ? I see she is moving real slow right now but no way is she heading due North,,,,,could the guidance be wrong?,,,,,I mean everything points to the West coast but could the pan handle being in play be far off with all this western shift ? I am just a novice at this but if this turn ( IF IT EVER HAPPENS ) be so sharp that the East coast could also be back in play ? If everyone and I mean everyone is saying Tampa could they be wrong and some other dynamic at work here ? again I hope OUR guys and girls out there are safe
I've been saying the past few days that we already need to start paying attention to Jose up here. It's totally possible for it to make it's way to NJ/NY/
Great point Greenday,,,Jay mentioned that also,,,ps I saw guidance today that said WE in the tri state area also must watch LEE !!!!
11pm ,,,the storm definitely started to turn north you can see it on the radar,,,,but to me it began heading north but then it looks as if it wobbles or starts heading west again,,,,,not sure if that was a so called wobble or what but it appears to have somewhat changed direction,,,,,but I could be wrong
So it slowed up just a little but should be good to go to watch the game today, winds are only expected to be 37-42mph from 1pm to 4pm. Have all my liquor packed up and since I will have to drive, no drinking during the game even though I know I'll need it.
Euro ? or GFS ? Ride the coast or head a tad east inland,,,,,? Neither is a great option but I would think getting IRMA off the water and on land would be the lesser of 2 evils !
PS last nite NAM had Irma hitting around Marco Island and then turning slightly east and then riding up the spine of Florida. Jay said if the other models began supporting this it might be a possibility ,,,,,,could that still happen ? I mean could the GFS saying inland route have any bearing on what last nights Nam said ? Just looking for a silver lining here guys as if there is any , its more like pick your poison !
some asshole was live streaming off his boat in key west on youtube. He eventually realized what was coming his was and went crazy. His feed died, probably so did he
GFS is looking a little inland but not up the middle, seeing where it is going now it might go inland a little but don't think it will go up the middle. Of course I don't know all that much. The first construction crane in Miami went down. Getting tornado warnings up here now, wind picking up a little.