ok try this logic.if the titans win today they will have won 10 straight.the odds of winning 11 straight is alot greater than losing 2 straight.so the odds of us winning next week are better if they win this week than if they lose next week.euther way win or lose i hope jax gives them a hard hitting game
I understand what the guy was saying, but I also find myself agreeing with you. It's just like all the people who keep saying they like the Jets being underdogs because then the pressure is on the other team. Sooner or later, if you want to be a good team, you have to be able to win when heavily favoured. And the only way to stay as an underdog is to lose games - so who the heck wants that?
Why would you want them to win? If they lose, then we beat them, we are one game back for homefield with the tiebreaker. Root for the jags.
teams don't win because of odds, they win because they are the better team or play better that day, it is that simple. there is zero correlation to a team playing worse simply because they won the week before, and that is the fan insecurity I am talking about that believes because the fan has no control the game's outcome is actually controlled by random chances and variable outside of what is occurring on the field.
I stand severely corrected.... I don't know what I was thinking with this...Of course I want the Titans to lose...it will give us a chance at the #1 seed...duhhhh.... sorry for my lapse in awareness
Horrible logic. Statistics says that each event, or game, is an independent event, so the odds of winning one specific game are the same regardless if you have won 20 straight or lost 20 straight. It's like roulette, just because the last 25 rolls have been red, does not mean the next roll has much better odds of being black, it's still 50-50.
^^^^^yes, but that only holds true when you look at a single game or coin toss. to say the odds of coming up heads 16 straight times is 50 50 is wrong. if the odds of the titans winning a game is 80%, then the odds of them winning two games in a row is 64% (.8 times .8) and so on.
i changed my mind totally around 2 PM....i don't know why I would ever want the titans to win today...if they lose today and we beat them next week the #1 seed isnt out of the question
The one plus of them losing in addition to helping in the standings would be that the Jags may expose a flaw that no one else has this year. It may not be a big factor but everything helps. The Titans have been getting beat up a bit so far in the game which will also help next week. Bulluck has that rib cartilage injury and was slow getting up on one play.
Jacksonville always plays very physical, you can count on the other team coming away sore no matter the outcome of the game.
Since the previous weeks have already been played, they are not a part of this equation. That 64% would be the chances of them winning the next two games if they have an 80% chance of winning each. You cannot, however, use this to say that someone has less and less of a chance to win as you go along. It only works at the beginning. Once you start getting results, it skews the prediction in the direction of the results. A ignoring players and coaching and so forth, as far as you are apparently concerned, a 5-5 team has a worse chance of winning its next game than a 7-3 team. The way you are calculating things is saying that all teams should reach 8-8 (.500) and that the further away from .500 you get the less probable the result is, which is not how things work because all teams are not equal. I've tried to explain this using your logic, but just so that you know, your math is wrong as well.
i agree...it may also make the titans realize they have flaws...then they have to face a good team the following week...
Damn steelers beat the Chargers. Was hoping we could get a game up on them for the all important #2 playoff spot. Anyway I love that we will be the underdog again next week. We win this one and we are in really really good shape.
