False, considering QBs such as Derek Carr and Bridgewater were available when the Jets went 8-8 the previous year, I HIGHLY believe that the Jets will have another chance to acquire a good QB prospect, wherever that be next year or the year after. Even so, the QBs in this draft - none are confirmed to be this "franchise QB" you speak of. So no, this is not the end of the road.
The more things change, the more they stay the same - sad thing is I bet you could dig out this thread 9 years from now and people will be asking themselves the same question - SOJ
I wouldn't mind getting our hands on the Eagles first rounders in 2016 and / or 2017. If Chip Kelly burns that team to the ground we could use one of those high first rounders on a QB.
there's a certain logic to this, but I am also mindful of the 2011 draft which produced a ton of talent but most of the flops were QBs (at least in round 1) and an awful lot of great QBs have not been top 6 picks. I think ultimately picking QBs is a lot like drafting pitchers -- you need a great eye for talent as to what's there and can be developed and the jets have lacked that eye
while this might actually happen, my thinking is if you don't waste a top pick on a long shot like Mariota, then you DEFINITELY don't waste a 2nd or 3rd round pick on a super-duper-very-long shot on a lower tier QB. Didn't we just do that with Geno? Where did that get us. Either we sell the farm to move up and get the next Andrew Luck, or we trade of a Drew Breese, or we hit the lottery with Geno. But wasting draft picks every year on a 'maybe' could deplete your team of 5+ excellent ballers in no time. GMs gotta be real careful evaluating and using draft picks on any potential position, including QB.
There is little we can do but we MUST do our very best to get a QB and not let our interception/turnover machine start another year.
Those in the Jets' Scouting and Personnel Depts. charged with identifying talent have had Marty Feldman like eyes:
No. What you do is sit in an isolated chamber and study tape of every draft eligible QB without any predetermined biases. You combine that information with their athletic measurables and statistical output to create a player profile. Then you cross-reference that profile against the profiles of every current and former NFL QB to determine that prospect's probability of future NFL success. Then, within two or three years you draft a good to studly QB at an appropriate to steal level value. Then you sit back and smoke expensive cigars and date supermodels and win the Super Bowl. Or we can just keep doing what we've been doing which is only pay attention to the guys who get hyped up by the media, pretend that everything else is a "crapshoot" and run around like chickens with our heads cut off. I say the latter, cuz screw it, the former is too much actual work, let's go! cluck cluck cluck.
Just as the salary cap limits what a team can do to acquire players, the 'team budget', as determined by the owner, limits how successful a team can be. I agree with you, the scenario you wrote is what 'should' happen on every team. In reality a poorly paid scout is assigned 50 players to evaluate and provide info sheets filled and perhaps some vid tape that supports their claim. Coaching and scouting are the two areas under a teams control and the cost of these comes out of the owners pocket. GMs are given a 'budget' to hire a HC and assemble a coaching staff, and the team presidents are given a budget to hire the GM and assemble a scouting dept (plus cheerleaders!). If I owned a team my scouting dept would be 100x anything the NFL has ever seen. I would assign a scout to every standout Jr/Sr highschool player who might one day be on my draft board. Hiring a PI to 'investigate' someone like Winston 3 weeks before the draft is just window dressing. I would have every other GM in football offering me $1M for our 5-year write up on a player they're thinking about taking in the first round.
What I propose would probably cost much less than what teams do now. Baseball and hockey teams already do this. It's called moneyball and metrics analysis. The NFL is just set in their ways.
Unless Chan can magically get Geno to take care of the ball better and read defences better we need to get a QB within 2 years because this team is ready to win now. Mariota would be a dream scenario but it's looking like that won't happen..
Do you think Mariota will be ready to lead this team by his second year? Should he start or sit day one?
