Getting from 3-2 to 4-12 is hard. That's what the Jets would have to do to get a top 5 pick this season. The last time they went 4-12 they picked 6th, the time before they picked 4th. I make the Jets out as about an average NFL team in terms of talent at this point, assuming that Geno is going to be up and down some and maybe steady out after the bye. That's worth 5 to 8 wins and maybe a little upside off of that. The 5 win floor is going quick with every win they get.
