I think we're probably going to take one just by virtue of the fact that a young QB usually buys a coach/GM a couple years. These guys are concerned with keeping their jobs/paychecks first and the long-term future of the team second. Think about Mougey in particular - this is probably by far the most money he's made per year at any time in his life. He'll have final say on who we take in the first round. I think at bare minimum we'll trade back but still take a QB in the first round. Most GMs are terrified to do this though and will want to keep a high pick to take the guy they like the most. I don't have any data on this but I feel like the teams that are patient enough to wait for a QB are usually the ones with longtime GMs who already have a track record of success and job security.
I think Nussmeier is who I want and who we should take. He just has great arm talent and layers the ball maybe the best I can really remember in college football. His production has been poor this year. LSU is a mess though and just fired Brian Kelly. They’ve had pretty much no running game all year, lost both tackles to the NFL, and he’s had an oblique injury they’ve been downplaying all year that has made his ball lose zip. He’s been gutting through it though. I don’t think you take him in the top ten. Not sure how you get him because he might not last to the second. Longer Condensed
Is his age a concern at all? Will be 24 by draft time. Generally not a great sign if a guy takes that long to really play well in college. Seems like he did play pretty well last year but you'd know better than me.
I think it’s the new norm in college. Guys are getting paid a lot of money to stay in school. He was also stuck behind Jayden Daniels for two years. At other positions it’s a concern due to the lifespan of a NFL player. QB’s play until they’re 40 though and are super protected.
