That's a horrific spot of the ball. It's short of the marker, but only by a yard, not two. Also, I love Breece and all, but it seems like he has never had the extra gear to get that needed yard, whether it be for a TD or for 1st Down.
It's virtually guaranteed. If the kick isn't a triple-doink miss, it'll probably be blocked and returned for a TD.
It just baffles me that on every 3rd and 1, they either go with an empty backfield or try to run off tackle. Send your 240 lb back through the fucking line! It's like Hackett/Downing see what to do and deliberately choose the opposite!