I think we're probably going to take one just by virtue of the fact that a young QB usually buys a coach/GM a couple years. These guys are concerned with keeping their jobs/paychecks first and the long-term future of the team second. Think about Mougey in particular - this is probably by far the most money he's made per year at any time in his life. He'll have final say on who we take in the first round. I think at bare minimum we'll trade back but still take a QB in the first round. Most GMs are terrified to do this though and will want to keep a high pick to take the guy they like the most. I don't have any data on this but I feel like the teams that are patient enough to wait for a QB are usually the ones with longtime GMs who already have a track record of success and job security.
I think Nussmeier is who I want and who we should take. He just has great arm talent and layers the ball maybe the best I can really remember in college football. His production has been poor this year. LSU is a mess though and just fired Brian Kelly. They’ve had pretty much no running game all year, lost both tackles to the NFL, and he’s had an oblique injury they’ve been downplaying all year that has made his ball lose zip. He’s been gutting through it though. I don’t think you take him in the top ten. Not sure how you get him because he might not last to the second. Longer Condensed
Is his age a concern at all? Will be 24 by draft time. Generally not a great sign if a guy takes that long to really play well in college. Seems like he did play pretty well last year but you'd know better than me.
I think it’s the new norm in college. Guys are getting paid a lot of money to stay in school. He was also stuck behind Jayden Daniels for two years. At other positions it’s a concern due to the lifespan of a NFL player. QB’s play until they’re 40 though and are super protected.
There's been no great Qb's who have been drafted 24 years old or older. But Nussmeir fits the Bill Parcell's profile: 3 year college starter graduate from college start 30+ games win 23 games 2 to 1 td/int ratio 60%+ completion ratio intangibles - leadership, toughness, clutch Recent Qb's who fit this: Caleb Williams Jayden Daniels Drake Maye Bo Nix Trevor Lawrence Joe Burrow Justin Hebert Tua Tagovailoa Current college Qb's who fit this: Nussmeier Sellers Allar Klubnik Of them with age being considered, Sellers seems like our guy.
I like Nussmeier. I think he could do well in Engstrand's system. Precision style field general that gets the ball out quick and move the chains. Which is what Goff does/did in Detroit with Engstrand's influence. Nussmeier has a quicker release than Sellers and he is very good in the middle of the field. But dang man, Sellers is younger, bigger, stronger and faster. I go back and forth on if I like Nuss or Sellers more. But they are my two favorite in this class. Gotta worry about the Saints grabbing him first though since his dad is the OC there.
Am I misunderstanding something here? Sellers had 4 passing attempts his freshman year. I don't think that qualifies as starting and disqualifies him from the 3 year starter thing. He's also a redshirt sophomore? Is he graduating early? Nussmeier is closer to counting as a 3 year starter but he doesn't really qualify either.
The age thing is pretty unfair though. There hasn’t ever really been a pool of guys coming out of college at 23-24 like there is now because of the extra covid year they all got and all the transfer waivers they’re handing out like candy. Pavia just sued and wala he gets another year of eligibility simply because they don’t want to deal with any more lawsuits. Guys coming out at 23-25 used to be very rare pre-2020 and NIL. They were generally that old because of religious missions. So it’s not like there’s a big pool of 23-24 year old QB’s that we can look at and say look at all these failures. For what it’s worth, Penix and Bo Nix were both 24 on draft night in 2024. Jayden Daniels was 23 and so was Burrow. Nussmeier is really only a two year starter. He had a big bowl game in 2023 when Daniels declared for the draft but that’s about it.
