1. Once I looked at the Jets D stats, I realized Pettine actually had pretty solid play calls and game management; just his players didn't execute. McCopter getting out of the game after the first series of the game with injury didn't help either. Pass D: 18/32, 217 YD, 1 TD, 1 INT. 7.2 yard/attempt Completion Ratio: 6th in the league, Yard: 17th in the league, YPA: 16th in league Rush D: 18/104, 3.7 yard/carry, 0 TD. YPC - 11th in the league, Yard: 18th in the league Turnover: +4. [Giveaway: 1 INT, Takeaway: 1 INT, 4 Fumbles recovered] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Rush D is rather skewed, because their QBs ran for more than half the total team yardage at 8 attempts. Their RBs ran for 20/46 collectively, rather pathetic 2.3 yard per carry. Also, that one lucky strike skewed the passing stat - 54 yard TD pass. If Cro didn't mess that up, Jets Pass D vaults into top 5. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is what I meant by solid play calls and game management; Pettine kept the Rush/Pass balance pretty even, at 28/32 even when his team was down by at least 2 scores in the second half. ================================================================ 2. Colts were wrecked at Buffalo: Pass D: 14/19, 195 YD, 1 TD, 0 INT, 10.6 yard/attempt Completion ratio: 26th in the league, Yard: 15th in the league, YPA: 29th in the league Rush D: 36/147, 4.1 yard/carry, 2 TD YPC: 17th in the league, Yard: 28th in the league Turnover: -3 [Giveaway: 3, INT: 2, Fumble: 1] ================================================================ Frank Gore ran 8 for 31 yards - a shade below 4 yards a pop. Now, he had 1 good run at 9 yard [longest] and then 7 for 22 the rest of the way, a shade above 3 yards a pop. That's an admirable performance against fearsome Bills front, but still 3 yards a pop doesn't cut it. ================================================================ If Colts commit to rushing the ball more, they will fail miserably. I don't think Jets front is in any way inferior to Bills front, and this unit literally shut down the Browns rushing attack. Pettine did have very good game plan - playing safe with solid rushing attack and then managing the 3rd and short situation with McCown. Just- McCopter decided to be stupid and the whole thing unraveled. They did run more than 100 yards in the game collectively, but their RBs collectively had very, VERY miserable day overall, at pathetic under 3 yards per carry. On top of that - look at this pass D. Tyrod Taylor might be a good rushing threat - but that doesn't explain 10 YPA, or 70+% completion ratio. Just what's up with this unit? As long as Fitz is protected well enough [which this OL can achive well enough] he will have pretty decent day again. Even without that one lucky strike [51 yard TD pass] their average is still at miserable 7.5 yard/attempt. What's more alarming is the big play ratio; Tyrod Taylor dropped back 19 times, and he had 20+ yard completion 3 times - healthy 15.8%. As for the Jets, it's still 3 [20/29/54], but it's out of 32, a bit less than 10%. If this doesn't mean anything to you - this is what that means. Assume Fitzpatrick passes anywhere between 24~30. That means, 4 to 5 passes will be successful big plays. Luck will have to pass 50 times to match that. [Which means Colts lose if they stick to this strategy.] As for Jets D against Colts O - if they don't start slow like they did last week, they have a very good chance to shine too. This offense has very weak OL, and it shows in both passing and rushing. While I do not expect the Colts to turn the ball over 5 times like Browns did, they will commit penalties, and they will turn the ball over. [INT and Fumble] As long as Jets stay in the positive here, they will be just fine.
