Agreed..... Jordan should be a third, McKenzie and Ferguson should amount to a fourth I would think. Becht is a wash with Blaylock. Does Blaylock's value go down because he missed most of the season, I wonder?
I think he is stating we lost 4 signed three. Net one pick. When contract values are close they cancel out and we only are left with comp for Jordan. If this was done by who I think, he will be right.
I hope this isn't true. Only one compensatory pick? Look at the players we signed and the players who left. There's a big difference in talent, performance, and salary. I hope we get more than just a third and a noncompensatory 7th.
I feel we should get Jordan - 3rd McKenzie - 4th Furgy - 5th All these guys started for their teams and were significantly better than the FAs we replaced them with.
Although the formula has never been revealed, by studying the compensatory picks that have been awarded since they began in 1993, I?ve determined that the primary factor in the value of the picks awarded is the average annual value of the contract the player signed with his new team, with small adjustments for playing time and postseason honors. A simple method of determining for which qualifying free agents a team will be compensated is this -- for every player signed, cancel out a lost player of similar value. For example, if a team signs one qualifying player for $2 million per season and loses two qualifying players, one who got $1.8 million per season and one who got $4 million per season, the team will be compensated for the $4 million player. If you look at the contracts that Jordan, McKenzie, Ferguson and Becht signed, we should DEFINITELY get more than one comp pick.... I would think a 3 and a 4 at a minimum. The players that we signed, with the exception of Blaylock may not even be covered by the formula.... which means we might get a third comp pick as well. I think that this guy overlooked both McKenzie (also a playoff appearance) and Ferguson. Someone from another board has emailed the guy asking for clarification... over sight, or not?
We should get a 3rd, 5th, and 7th. Ferg didn't really play much and I don't think he even took 1/2 of the snaps in Dallas... and the lack of playing time drops him down.
As Adamjt13, BTW (It is bogus, IMO, to cut and paste his work without giving him credit) explained on a different forum, "Here are the qualifying players the Jets lost and signed -- N.Y. JETS Lost – LaMont Jordan, Kareem McKenzie, Jason Ferguson, Anthony Becht. Signed – Derrick Blaylock, Lance Legree, Barry Gardner. Toby Gowin got cut, and Jason Glenn wasn't a true UFA. With qualifying four players lost and three qualifying players signed, the Jets should get one comp pick, that being for Jordan. "
Makes sense, but McKenzie and Ferguson got huge deals, while Blaylock, Legree and Gardner did not get deals anywhere near those. I can see Blaylock/Legree nullifying Ferguson or McKenzie and Gardner offsetting Becht but that's about it.. However, this dude is right on most times so you can not argue with him. Noone knows the formula, not even a lot of the teams, but this guy's track record is awesome
I agree, gotta give credit where credit is due, BUT I thought picks only canceled each other out when the values were close - the Jordan, McKenzie, and Ferguson contracts far outvalued Blaylock, which was the biggest of our signings. Can you explain why they cancel each other out?
I don't want to impugn his credentials, but I agree with your assessment - there should be two nice picks like a third and fourth or a third and fifth in it for us.
^^Yes. How come they can just cancel out like that? The values aren't really close. The NFL should just release this darn formula. Make things easier.
Frankly, I think the entire concept of picks for losing free agents is flawed, but that's the system. I think if you lose a free agent.. TOO F'ING BAD. That's why they are a FREE AGENT.
