Jets Playoff Discussion

Discussion in 'New York Jets' started by Jay Bizniss, Oct 21, 2013.

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  1. The 1985er

    The 1985er Well-Known Member

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    And they were competitive for both games.
     
  2. Ralebird

    Ralebird Well-Known Member

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    Doesn't a flex have to be announced two weeks prior? If so, putting NYJ/MIA on prime has a big risk of not only a meaningless game but a lousy one too.
     
  3. displacedfan

    displacedfan Well-Known Member

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    Oh it's two weeks? I suggested it, then yeah they won't do that
     
  4. statjeff22

    statjeff22 2008 Green Guy "Most Knowledgeable" Award Winner

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    For week 17 it is decided 6 days beforehand, so it will be very clear what the playoff implications are for every game.
     
  5. Ralebird

    Ralebird Well-Known Member

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    Okay, thanks.
     
  6. allan1

    allan1 Active Member

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    What we need for week 15

    Ravens lose to Detroit
    Fish lose to Patriots
    Chargers lose to Broncos
    Jets beat Carolina
     
  7. Jay Bizniss

    Jay Bizniss Well-Known Member

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    All seem likely except that last one.
     
  8. soxxx

    soxxx Trolls

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    Our season is in the hands of New England. If New England loses to Miami we are practically dead because at best the Jets could only tie Miami's division record. Miami has the conference record over us so they would win the tiebreaker.

    New England plays the Ravens the following week to which we will again need New England to win.
     
  9. dawinner127

    dawinner127 Well-Known Member

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    It could definitely happen too. Cincy has the tie breaker over Indy because they beat them. However They also beat New England so if they end up in a tie cincy could slide up to number 2 but I don't think they beat New England by a game record wise so it could very well mean something.
     
  10. pclfan

    pclfan Well-Known Member

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    If we beat Miami there is a chance we could have the tiebreaker against them. The Fins play all AFC East teams the rest of the way. And they are 0-1 against the Bills and NEP. And beat us. So if we finish with the same season record as them, beat them and they lose to one or both of those teams we'll have the better AFC East record. We split with the Bills and NEP. And if we beat the Fins we split with them. As for the Ravens winning that game today it was a killer for the Jets. If we both finish at 9-7 the Ravens make the playoffs. They play the Lions, Patriots and Bengals.
     
  11. 85inthehall

    85inthehall Well-Known Member

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    I'm not looking ahead -- December 15th and there is something to root for
     
  12. TonyMaC

    TonyMaC Well-Known Member

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    and hey we can't be eliminated next week! we'll be in it till at least week 16!

    to drive home another point the Ravens CAN'T win twice.they do that and even 9-7 wouldn't matter.

    root against them, HARD.
     
  13. pclfan

    pclfan Well-Known Member

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    Just for fun here are the tiebreaker rules:

    TO BREAK A TIE WITHIN A DIVISION

    If, at the end of the regular season, two or more clubs in the same division finish with identical won-lost-tied percentages, the following steps will be taken until a champion is determined.

    Two Clubs

    Head-to-head (best won-lost-tied percentage in games between the clubs).
    Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the division.
    Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games.
    Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.
    Strength of victory.
    Strength of schedule.
    Best combined ranking among conference teams in points scored and points allowed.
    Best combined ranking among all teams in points scored and points allowed.
    Best net points in common games.
    Best net points in all games.

    Now if the Fins win against NEP and the Bills and lose to us. And we win all three games. Both teams are 9-7 and if it's the second best record among non-Division AFC teams.The way I added it up looking at the schedules: In common games both teams would have won five games. Then in conference games both teams would have won five games. Then it goes to strength of victory. Maybe someone else can figure that one out. If you think it's crazy and ridiculous you're right. But it's happened before with Rex making the playoffs when it was almost mathematically impossible. At least it will keep up awake for the next few weeks.
     
    #1133 pclfan, Dec 8, 2013
    Last edited: Dec 8, 2013
  14. nyjetsfan7234

    nyjetsfan7234 Member

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    With regards to playing in primetime games:

    I remember in 09 when the Jets played the Bengals in the last game of the season before playing them in the playoffs the following week. In that last game of the season the game got flexed to primetime because I believe it was the only game where a team (Jets) was guaranteed to make the playoffs with a win without needing any help.

    .
     
  15. nyjunc

    nyjunc 2008 TGG Bryan Cox "Most Argumentative" Award Winn

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    Miami doesn't matter, if we win out and Miami wins the next 2 weeks we will be ahead of them. we would then need Bal to lose 2 of 3.
     
  16. jilozzo

    jilozzo Well-Known Member

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    cant believe i am posting this but really the jets playoffs begin next week in NC.
     
  17. Br4d

    Br4d 2018 Weeb Ewbank Award

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    Edited for actual math ;p

    The Jets are in the same position they were in at the end of 2009 after 14 games. They need to win out and the top two teams challenging them need to lose two more while the third team does not win out.

    Could it happen? Sure. Odds would probably be like 25-1 at this point.

    To make the playoffs:

    Jets beat Carolina, Cleveland, Miami
    Ravens lose to 2 out of 3 of Detroit, New England, Cincinnati
    Fins lose to either Buffalo or New England
    Chargers lose to Denver, Oakland or Cincinnati

    Straight probability (no schedule strength included)

    Jets win out = 12.5%
    Ravens lose 2 or more = 50%
    Fin lose 1 of 2 non-Jets = 75%
    Chargers lose 1 or more = 87.5%

    So total = 4%
     
    #1137 Br4d, Dec 9, 2013
    Last edited: Dec 9, 2013
  18. Trip McNealy

    Trip McNealy Member

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    Plus we were a better team in 2009.
     
  19. nyjunc

    nyjunc 2008 TGG Bryan Cox "Most Argumentative" Award Winn

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    only Bal needs to lose 2 more.
     
  20. The Green Dude

    The Green Dude 2008 Best Avatar Award Winner

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    Wow... crazy finishes for both Miami and Baltimore kicked us square in the balls.
     
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