Jets are set at 7 wins for next year per Vegas

I wish we could play half a game more like Miami. :grin:

 

And if this is close to being accurate, the Jets will draft in the middle of the first round next year and will have no shot at the top QBs of the 2014 draft class.

 

7 wins is pretty much the going rate for the Jets win total for next season. They've made enough additions to at least field a somewhat competitive squad.

I have them at 6 as this will be a learning year for all of the rookies. QB and offense are still the weakest links on the team and unless Smith or Garrard play well I don't see the offense being that much better this year. Ivory is the Jets biggest upgrade in terms of offensive playmakers as he should have the biggest immediate impact on that side of the ball.

 

I can deal with 7. Rex most likely keeps his job if we win 7. I think we can win 10 though.

Oddly enough, I also had the Pats at 11 wins.

 

I think we win 9 or 10 honestly.

Here's why:

1. We improved on defense. We may have lost Landry and Revis, but we got younger and faster. We went out and drafted the best corner in the league to compliment Cro and we got a freakishly fast and brutal defensive lineman. With Rex coaching the defense again and the DL having the potential to be one of the best in the league, I see us having a top 5 defense this year.

2. We will have a MUCH improved offense. Why? Because we now have an EXCELLENT OC, a competitive QB squad, and an explosive young running game. I think Garrard will win us many games and mentor Geno quite well. Geno will step in and get the job done. We will be running the WCO, quick and fast plays that Geno will thrive in. Ivory will explode and I think Goodson will be something special when he is thrown the ball in space.

We managed to win 6 games last year with all the injuries we had, an incompetent QB, and no weapons on offense. We have improved the OL, the QB position, the RB position, and all our WR's are healthy. I can't see us winning only 1 more game than last year. I think we get 9 or 10. I think we surprise a lot of people this season.

 

If GS3 or Garrard start, then I'd say it's possible that we could get 9 wins. POSSIBLE, but I don't think we'll do it.

Regardless of record, I think we'll at least be competitive this year.

 

Vegas odds factor in the size of the fanbase. I don't think they really believe the Steelers are a better team than Baltimore...but they also know that it is likely that more money will be coming in on Pittsburgh due to their large fanbase. It's not a true power ranking, not that those matter anyway.

 

Since Rex Ryan is coaching this defense, we had no shot at the QBs at the top of the 2014 class.

 

I think if we get to the bye at 4-5 and healthy we have a real shot to win a bunch of games in the second half of the year.

 

That's true, and they also try to pick a number that will bring the bets in at 50% over and 50% under.

The fact that they think 50% of the people betting will be projecting Jets winning 8 games, tells me that they also think there's no way in hell Sanchez will be the starter. If they thought there was a good chance he'll be starting on opening day, the number would be lower than it is, because they could never bank on Jets fans betting confidently on him. If Sanchez was announced as the starter and they kept it at 7, a huge portion of the money would go on the under and they'd be opening themselves up for a potential big hit.

 

So the fans crying about the Smith pick and claiming the Jets should have waited until next year to draft a QB are a bunch of idiots, especially when you can't predict the 2013 NFL season, the 2013 college season, and, most importantly, who will be available when you draft in April 2014. If you need a QB, you draft one when he is staring you in the face on your draft board, regardless of who may be available next year!!!!!!!

 

That's the important point I left out. It's all about the vig for Vegas and the important 50-50 split. Higher odds are set for teams like Pitt, Dallas and NY franchises than you'd normally project based on talent alone because they assume over bets will come in for those teams no matter what, so they need to entice ppl to come in with under bets.

 

Yeah I mean you'd have to be pretty crazy to bet under on 7 wins because we probably can't win less than 6 without even worse QB play and key injuries again. I think we win 7-9 but wouldn't be shocked if Geno starts and we win 10 if he shows some life.

The most important thing for me this year is to see Coples turn into a stud like he should, Hill and Davis progress, and Geno Smith does something to suggest that he's either very good or very bad so we don't get strung along for years over a 2nd round pick without justification. If those things happen and it looks like we might have gotten what we paid for with the 2013 1st rounders the team will be set up to do some damage in the coming years.

 

Unless a QB steps up this year and performs at least at an NFL average level I'm going with 5 wins. If a QB steps up and plays at least at the Average NFL level 9 wins...That said I'm going with 5 wins.

 

If Smith can make this a top 15 offense, this team is winning 10 games and making the playoffs. The defense will be a top 5 defense next year (with a shot at top 3).

 

Reason I'm saying 5 wins is the Schedule we have and the big Question mark at QB. It's unlikely the team will have a top 10 running game and it's unlikely the defense will be a top 5 unit, though I'd be surprised if it's not top 10.

Too many Questions on the O-Line, Too many questions at QB, Questions regarding the running game and it's ability to stay healthy.

ON Defense it all depends on the play of the D-line. If they really step it up the defense will be top 10, but not top 5. LB corp's overall is slow and getting old, though it's actually younger than last year, and the Safety group is a very big quesiton mark. the Corners should be fine though. Demario Davis will have to establish himself this year if the defense is to thrive, not that I expect him to be a total stud at LB but the Jets need him to be at the very least an NFL average LB this year (and I'm sure he can be at least that this year).

Far too many question marks on this team for me to say much about.

Honestly, I think the Bills win more games this year than the Jets. However I can see the Jets having more wins than Miami (I haven't looked over their schedule yet).

 

The only way we get 7 or more wins is if we have a new QB starting.

 

Exactly. This has nothing to do with how many games Vegas thinks the Jets will win. This is the number that Vegas thinks will entice 50-50 betting on either side of the line.