Why do you call them the Seabags? Anyway, Seattle has gotten blown out by St. Louis and Denver. See what I mean about unpredictable? Oakland has beaten San Diego and absolutely manhandled the Broncos in Denver. I'd say Seattle is the overall better team, but would I have confidence in them winning in Oakland? No.
I took the following parlay. 4 games for 50 bucks Buffalo +7.5 {Im thinking this is a lower scoring game then preception so the spread is too large, gonna take the underdog} Lions -3 {Wash lost on the road to the Rams and would of lost to the Bears without Cutler. I think Detriot will avoid giving Wash another gift} Chargers -3.5 {They finally show what happens when everything goes right} Saints pk {Bounce back game for Brees, Pitt is due for a loss. I doubt they go 15-1 and losing at the Superdome isnt that awful.
I gotta agree that the Seahawks and Raiders are too hard to pick at this point but the Seahawks are by far the better team. Here are my picks this week, went kind of high on 4 tickets. One i left out was another super teaser with different teams With my Steelers, Skins, and Texans big money ticket I am very confident thats a winner. Panthers, Bengals, and Packers (especially with the 6 points) are solid too IMHO.
Ouch man, good luck with those picks but i dont see the Lions or Saints covering. Saints will have to play a perfect game to beat the Saints. Brees will get back in rhythm but it wont be until he gets his RB'S back and certainly not against Pitt's defense. I was to scared to take the Bills spread, Thomas Jones and Jamaal Charles might be the scariest backfield right now and we have not shown we can stop the run at all this season. I do think we'll put up some point against them though so that bet might be safe.
You kill the value of a teaser when you tease across zero. The points around zero are worth very little.
Think about what I mean. Basically, three is the most valuable point, followed by 7, because those are the most common outcomes. This is why, when buying points, buying from -3.5 to 3, -3 to -2.5, +2.5 to +3, +3 to +3.5 are the most expensive purchases. The least valuable numbers would be buying from 0 to +.5, +.5 to +1, +1 to +1.5, +1.5 to +2, +2 to +2.5 and the same if you're buying down on a -. Think about what points you're buying on a teaser across zero. If you tease from -3 to +3, you're getting two valuable half-points (buying on and off the key number 3), but all the rest is junk. A so-called Wong teaser, which I mentioned earlier, is the best kind. It's where you're teasing past 3 and 7. So buy from +2.5 to +8.5, or -8 to -2. Pinnacle, the sharpest book around (does not cater to Americans, unfortunately), actually does not move lines to certain numbers because of Wong teasers. At Pinnacle, you'll often see -1 (-122)/+1 (+115) or the like. The reason? If you're doing a standard 6 point tease with the underdog, you can't get it past the key number of 7. Pinnacle will rarely be seen offering -1.5/+1.5, -2/+2, or -2.5/+2.5. They'll have it at 3 or at 1, with the odds shifting depending.
I would say the Ravens have a better running game then the cheifs and the Bills did just fine against them last week. The Ravens are also an overall better team then the Bills as well so im still really liking that pick. I do agree that the Saints running game is an issue but if you go back to last week Ivory did pretty darn good at RB. I think it was mentioned that he had a better single game then either of the others have done. If you dont think the Saints can beat Pitt at home you missed the Dolphins game last week. NO is better at home then Mia. The pick im concerned with is Det as I have no idea how Rusty Stafford will be but im more picking against Wash then for Det. The spread is suppose to make the game balanced so all this is just opinion. They still have to play the game.
Correct but the cheifs havent played the Jets or the Steelers. My statement wasnt based off stats from the NFL through week 7.
Yeh but we are ranked 32nd against the rush for a reason. Main reason is the stupid switch to the 3-4 when we have 4-3 personell. However George Edwards announced earlier in the week that we'll be switching back to the 4-3 which im happy about. It will take a few weeks for the D to gel but we wont be giving up an average of 33 points a game anymore. Im leaning towards the Bills covering that spread though but i didnt put any money on it except on a $2 10 team parlay.
$20.00 $24.00 Pending 10/31/10 1:00pm NFL Football 207 Denver Broncos +120* vs San Francisco 49ers $20.00 $46.00 Pending 10/31/10 1:00pm NFL Football 209 Jacksonville Jaguars +230* vs Dallas Cowboys $20.00 $27.00 Pending 10/31/10 1:00pm NFL Football 211 Washington Redskins +135* vs Detroit Lions $20.00 $44.00 Pending 10/31/10 1:00pm NFL Football 213 Green Bay Packers +220* vs New York Jets $21.00 $20.00 Pending 10/31/10 1:00pm NFL Football 216 St. Louis Rams -2½ -105* vs Carolina Panthers $23.00 $23.00 Pending 10/31/10 1:00pm NFL Football 217 Miami Dolphins pk +100* vs Cincinnati Bengals $10.00 $26.00 Pending 10/31/10 1:00pm NFL Football 219 Buffalo Bills +260* vs Kansas City Chiefs $20.00 $36.00 Pending 10/31/10 4:05pm NFL Football 221 Tennessee Titans +180* vs San Diego Chargers $30.00 $48.00 Pending 10/31/10 4:15pm NFL Football 223 Tampa Bay Buccaneers +160* vs Arizona Cardinals $20.00 $23.00 Pending 10/31/10 4:15pm NFL Football 225 Seattle Seahawks +115* vs Oakland Raiders $20.40 $20.00 Pending 10/31/10 4:15pm NFL Football 228 New England Patriots -6 -102* vs Minnesota Vikings Instead of going big into one or two games having all or nothing...just figured I'd bet a small amount on these bad boys. All of them except for maybe 2 I feel pretty confident in. (GB/Buf) I'm sure I'll atleast get my money back.
Shoulda took the Panthers, Chargers, Cowboys, and Vikings. Other then that the rest of your picks are ok.
I did get one right with La. Tech but of course lost today with USC. Dunno why they couldn't keep it closer. 2-3 in NCAA now.
It was back and forth scoring until midway through the third when Oregon started to pull away. I don't really regret the pick.
