Best bet of week

Discussion in 'Crystal Ball' started by Yisman, Sep 12, 2010.

  1. Yisman

    Yisman Newbie
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    This post reeks. You realize that, don't you?

    You can't take credit for something if you don't even post it beforehand.

    The only way to have any credibility is to post picks before the games start. Then if you win, you can say you made a good call.

    For example, Cleveland ML was one of my favorite picks today, but I didn't mention it until now because I didn't manage to get to this thread until after 1 PM.
     
  2. talisaynon

    talisaynon Well-Known Member

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    Bookies making a killing off stoopid bettors this weeked...Fortunately i have the yisman to guide me. :)
     
  3. BuffaloPhysco

    BuffaloPhysco Member

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    lol i posted a friggin pic of my picks and the date i made the parlay is at the bottom right. Clearly i made a good call with that one. I needed it though as that breaks me even for the year, actually about $40 over. I usually bet $60-$120 a week. I have never seen this thread until this week, when i go make my bets tommorow I'll be sure to post them! friggin Seattle blew a 10 game parlay for me :mad:
     
  4. BuffaloPhysco

    BuffaloPhysco Member

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    Why would i pass up an easy bet? betting against your own team is perfectly fine. You usually know them more then any other team!
     
  5. Jetfanmack

    Jetfanmack haz chilens?

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    At least there's a picture of the card.

    Kind of like how I can take a little credit for posting my picks on my blog ahead of time. I keep forgetting to post them in the Crystal Ball thread, but I'm 10-2 this year on www.jetsdaily.com.
     
  6. G3M1n180

    G3M1n180 Member

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    Lets get back to picking games.

    Who likes Miami +1 and over 48.
     
  7. Jetfanmack

    Jetfanmack haz chilens?

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    Like both picks, though the over/under scares me a little. I feel New England will play shootouts all year, but 48 is a little high, and you never know what happens in this division.
     
  8. G3M1n180

    G3M1n180 Member

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    My first thought about the over goes back to the Pats/Bills game last week where 68 pts were scored. Now add Sanchez putting up 3 TDs on Mia last week and im convinced. I would think Brady can match that with Henne also having a great game since the Pats cant stop anybody right now.

    Its 40 to win 105 if you parlay the two.
     
  9. Yisman

    Yisman Newbie
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    So? For all I know, you made a dozen six team parlays, and then picked out the one that won.

    Again, to take credit for a pick, you have to post it before the game.

    RE: Monday night

    Pretty sure I'm staying away from that one.
     
    #69 Yisman, Oct 4, 2010
    Last edited: Oct 4, 2010
  10. talisaynon

    talisaynon Well-Known Member

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    I'm going to tease mia and the over. line's moved to +1 1/2. lots of late action going to NE.
     
  11. Yisman

    Yisman Newbie
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    Teasing Miami to +7.5 is enticing when you consider that 5 Dimes has it at -330. Moving one side of your bet from -110 to -330 is pretty good.

    3260 Miami Dolphins (Prop) +7½ -330

    I just took NE -7.5 (+300) at DSI and Miami +7.5 (-280) at Bodog for a risk-free small profit. More to complete rollover than anything else.
     
  12. talisaynon

    talisaynon Well-Known Member

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    theoretically what's stopping you from betting your life savings on both these games?

    Wish i had a million in the bank.
     
  13. NYJalltheway

    NYJalltheway Well-Known Member

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    I didn't take any bets tonight but had a few in my head I considered. I would have lost most of them this week.
     
  14. Yisman

    Yisman Newbie
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    Limits. Every sportsbook has limits for bets, and for props like alternate spreads (and tons of other stuff, like who scores first, will the first score be a td or not, etc.), books set low limits. A typical limit for a prop would be $500, while books have limits of $2,000 or more for totals or sides on gameday (earlier in the week, when the market is less liquid, the limits are set lower, but they're raised on gameday or even the day before).

    Therefore, they're not as concerned about leaving arbitrage opportunities out there because their exposure is limited.

    Anyway, I just rechecked, and DSI has moved the line to remove the arb opportunity:

    5:35 PM
    15053 NEW ENGLAND -7½+275
    15054 MIAMI +7½-355
     
    #74 Yisman, Oct 4, 2010
    Last edited: Oct 4, 2010
  15. BuffaloPhysco

    BuffaloPhysco Member

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    Pats will win by 2 TD'S.
     
  16. jets_fan_in_fishtown

    jets_fan_in_fishtown Active Member

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    took the over and the pats...good night for me.

    liking jacksonville -1 @ buffalo next week.

    we're -4...not a bad bet either IMHO

    packers -2.5 @ redskins? Hrmm..everytime i bet against the skins they burn me. hesitant on this one
     
  17. Yisman

    Yisman Newbie
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    That Jacksonville line seems like a trap.

    They're easily a better team than Buffalo.
     
  18. talisaynon

    talisaynon Well-Known Member

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    ugly ugh ..
     
  19. jets_fan_in_fishtown

    jets_fan_in_fishtown Active Member

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    that's why i jumped on it. i'm sure that'll creep up before game time

    MJD is going to run all over the place
     
  20. Yisman

    Yisman Newbie
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    week 1: 2-0
    week 2: 2-1
    week 3: 1-0
    week 4: 2-0
     

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