Not really, once you cut the 'dead weight' you have about 20 or so open roster spots, with a significant number of those being starters, DT, OG, QB, RB, RB, DE and 3 LB's. that's an average uf just under 2 million per postion and if you're just talking starters then that's an average of about 5 million per starting position, of course that would still leave you with about 14 open roster spots on the active roster.
Once out from under contract they can't trade him, he's not under contract. If they franchise him, exclusive or non exclusive, then they create a cap problem if no one signs him. the current average of a 3-4 DE is between 14-15 million for the top 5. and I'm pretty sure you can't pull a franchise tag unless you agree to a long term contract. IMHO the Jets are a little over a barrel this year just my opinion.
How so? Cro is going to be replaced by Skrine or Marcus Williams, Couples although an outside linebacker is more of a DE, Cumberland is hopefully going to be replaced by Amaro. We will have to address some of those positions, but we can do so cheaply or within the draft.
You still need to fill roster spots. 3 out of 4 LB's are free agents next season for example. Regardless of who fills spots you still need to fill slots with players you pay and unless you plan on filling 15 or so slots with league minimum players......and don't forget, the draft picks we sign will count against the cap limit at some point in time, I forget the exact date. yes you get a rookie salary pool but that's to get you through camp.
Thats' not to say things can't be fixed, there are a lot of little loopholes that can be used to manipulate cap space...Just saying that resigning Mo and Keeping Ivory and keeping Snacks probably isn't all possible...
I agree that someone on the d-line is going to go. The CS is probably evaluating if Richardson is better this year than Mo. OR maybe they trade away Richardson and resign Mo, who knows? We certainly have too many d-linemen on this team, which is overkill. We have drafted Mo, Couples, Richardson, Williams, and we have Harrison that I keep forgetting fell out of the sky as an UDFA. We can roll with 4 out of the 5 still have an elite d-line.
maybe, maybe not. Nose tackles are less expensive in general than other D-lineman. Could see him making 5-6 million a year at most, and that contract can be structured so its got a lower cap hit next year as most do. the big question is does some other team overpay for his services or not.
depends on how well we can restructure our veterans like D-Brick, Mangold and maybe Cro. we can save almost 10 million off cutting Cumby and Coples alone. thats what like 20-25 million in savings? thats on top of whatever we have left carried over this year and next in space for the draft. Mac has to be clever and keep an eye to future flexibility, but this CAN be done.
Very true, but a lot of the nose tackles that are getting paid are on the field for 3 downs. The amount of reps Snacks gets is pretty low in comparison to a Kyle Williams or Brandon Mebane. Jets better not break the bank for a 2 down lineman.
Snacks is one of those situations where I could see him asking for too much ($8-9M range) from the Jets and then getting out on the market and finding that $5-6M is where it's at. I don't *think* Rex can afford him given the rest of the guys on the line in Buffalo and the Bills run defense is damn good already but you can't ever count out the "Rex loves him some of his players" factor. Rex certainly couldn't afford to pay him in the $8-9M range so the question is if Rex offers the market does Snacks want to change addresses? The Bills are at more than $40M on the cap for their top 3 defensive linemen already for 2016. Snacks seems to be better in a two gap system than the one gap Todd Bowles and Kacy Rodgers run. It makes more out of his primary asset which is being freaking hard to move out of the middle and it cuts down on his one weakness which is that he doesn't penetrate well on passing downs. Part of the lack of penetration could be job-induced fear. If your job is to make sure nobody gets by you in the middle, well it's hard to just peel your ears back and go for the QB. Snacks has had no job security at any point in his career. He's a UDFA who made good. Fear of a critical failure or two could easily be keeping him at home more than he ought to be in an aggressive defense. I don't think anybody is going to pay Snacks a record-setting price for a NT the way the Redskins blew Randy Thomas price out of the water in 2003. If that kind of action was out there somebody would have broken the gentleman's agreement and signed Snacks this year for $5-6M a year and given the Jets the 2nd round pick compensation. The NFL likely views Snacks as a quality run-stopper but not a make or break piece.
The salary cap will probably rise by about ($10m) again. Coples will be cut ($7.5m) considering we barely use him. Brick's $14m cap charge will be a bit excessive and he might be willing to take a pay cut of ($2m) or so, but if he has a good year then probably not. Kerley will be cut ($3m) as the coaching staff clearly doesn't consider him a good fit for the offense. Cumberland will not be here ($2m). If Cromartie gives up enough big plays and gets benched for Williams, it's possible that Cro will be cut again which would free up another ($8m). Between all of those things, there could be anywhere from $22m to $33m in cap space available, without getting rid of anyone who we'd need in 2016. The most free agents we have will be: Mo: Taggable for $8m or so, but he wants $18m+ per year, which is excessive. The Jets would probably be willing to pay $13m or so. Fitzpatrick: $5m if he gets us to the playoffs? Ivory: This could get expensive if he has a career year with 1,500+ yards and 12+ TDs. $8m? I'm not sure he can get Marshawn Lynch level money ($12m) off of one great year, but I see him possibly fitting into that next tier of RBs like McCoy, Foster, Murray, etc who get around $8m. Harrison: $4m or so since he's a 2-down NT? Other important free agents: Demario Davis: A few million. Antonio Allen: A few million. Willie Colon: He's having a resurgence this year, but can he stay healthy? A few million. Chris Owusu: Lower tier receiver. Somewhere near the minimum? I think that clearly we can't let Mo and Snacks go. If we're still running primarily a 3-4, and some team out there is willing to pay Mo $16m, they'll have to give us a lot in return. In that case we'd have more cap flexibility and could keep Snacks pretty easily. A big risk though, is that Richardson has been suspended a few times and it's unclear if he will truly learn from it. The front office is going to have to make some difficult choices about which players to let go. Hopefully Mac can keep the right ones under non-excessive contracts, and hopefully our younger players can step in and fill any voids that open up when guys leave.
WTF? Who said MO wants anywhere near 16-18 mil plus? Nobody in the league would pay him that much anyway.
http://thejetpress.com/2015/09/12/new-york-jets-afford-wilkerson/ "Suh will make just 985,000 dollars this year, but his 2016 salary jumps to $23 million! Reportedly at the time, Wilkerson was asking for the Jets to pay him in line with the Suh deal. Sun's average salary over the next six years comes to $19 million." Of course no one in the league will pay him that, but he might feel that he deserves it and think that the Jets are lowballing him. He might not actually expect the Jets to give him $19m per year, but it's pretty clear that he feels whatever the Jets have been offering isn't good enough. I think he'd readily agree to JJ Watt level money ($16.6m/year) and is asking for Suh money so that he has something to bargain down to. The tier down below Watt is Cameron Jordan and Calais Campbell, who are at about $11m each. Wilkerson is better than them by a significant margin- but worse than JJ Watt by a significant margin. That's why I think his actual value should be about $13m/year. It's obvious that there is a disconnect between what the Jets value Wilkerson at, and what he values himself at. If the Jets or a trading partner isn't willing to pay him JJ Watt money or at least close to it, then in my opinion he will want to test free agency and will end up signing a contract similar to what the Jets have been offering him. The problem is that that might not be with the Jets.
Snacks is as good as gone, I fully expect him to walk next off-season unless he takes a big time discount. Jets will draft a replacement and use more 4 man fronts going forward. Snacks at best 2 down lineman, not worth 7 or 8M / season. It really comes down to Mo vs Sheldon, it's hard envisioning a future with them both on the roster, but it's not impossible.
The cost for franchising Mo for 2016 is $16 million, not $8 million. http://thejetsblog.com/nyjets/wilkerson-extension-talks-havent-gained-steam/
This is where mac will start writing his legacy as jets GM.... not last offseason where he walked into a team that could only go up, had a top 6 pick and 50m in cap space. moving forward he will have tough decisions to make and his draft choices will be critical forget Mo. our biggest decision moving forward is LT. brick is going to be due an extension, or we may need to walk away with him and we currently have no replacement next obviously is the dline. mo needs to get paid, sheldon will be looking for money shortly after, and harrison also will be looking to cash in. our defense beindg top 3 this year wont help these guys demands QB and Pass rusher. still dont have either one on the roster. you arent getting either without a top draft pick or big FA money. we either punt on those positions again or invest the pick. which means you arent using the pick on left tackle
Franchise tag on a 3-4 DE will be around 13-14 million, it's the average of the top 5 players at the position and that's around that point in price.
