Jay's House of Weather 'n Stuff

Discussion in 'BS Forum' started by jaywayne12, Dec 25, 2010.

  1. Brook!

    Brook! Soft Admin...2018 Friendliest Member Award Winner

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    Look at those pictures. I am sure CBG is looking at them like it is porn :)
     
  2. JetsHuskers fan

    JetsHuskers fan Well-Known Member

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  3. JetsHuskers fan

    JetsHuskers fan Well-Known Member

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    WOW. add this to what has already fallen, and spots will have 9 to 10 feet +

    ACCUMULATIONS...SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 4 INCHES PER HOUR IN THE
    MOST INTENSE PORTION OF THE BAND. STORM TOTALS WILL REACH 3 TO
    4 FEET IN MANY AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM SOUTH
    BUFFALO TO BATAVIA. LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 6 FEET FROM LACKAWANNA
    TO LANCASTER AND ELMA FROM THE FIRST STORM ENDING ON WEDNESDAY.

    ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 2 FEET IN THE SECOND STORM
    LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT IN PERSISTENT BANDS.
    THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS MAY AGAIN FOCUS ON THE BUFFALO SOUTHTOWNS.
     
  4. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    BN...lake effect snow is probably the coolest weather phenomenon in the world (other then a once in a century noreaster :).

    The lakes are not frozen yet..in fact they are not even close. The frigid air goes racing along the lakes and you describe it perfectly...areas just miles away go from a few inches to feet. If you notice the radar..as the wind direction changes and the heavy snow goes left or right several miles. Once the lakes freeze..or if they do freeze...it gets cut off to nothing. Sometimes in a warmer winter it can go on all winter.

    Amazing...really amazing...let me bring up buffalo n.y and lets see what the rest of the week shows.
     
    #7544 jaywayne12, Nov 18, 2014
    Last edited: Nov 18, 2014
  5. JetsHuskers fan

    JetsHuskers fan Well-Known Member

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    Only downside to Lake Effect is that its so dry and high ratio (1:30 to sometimes 1:40) that it compacts and melts too fast in places like Western, and Central NY. The Tug Hill and the Adarondacks are the best sports for Lake Effect because they get more snow and they retain it better.
     
  6. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Buffalo NY:

    • A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 24. West wind around 18 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Total daytime snow accumulation of around an inch possible.
    • Tonight Snow showers likely, mainly after 3am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 20. Breezy, with a west wind 16 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 43 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of around an inch possible.
    • Wednesday Snow showers with areas of blowing snow before 9am, then snow showers likely after 9am. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 27. Breezy, with a south wind 13 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
    • Wednesday Night A chance of snow before 10pm, then snow after midnight. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 25. Breezy, with a south wind 16 to 23 mph becoming west after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 37 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
    • Thursday Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 28. Breezy, with a west wind around 23 mph, with gusts as high as 39 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
    • Thursday Night A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 21. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
    • Friday A chance of snow showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 27. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
    • Friday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 20.
    • Saturday Partly sunny, with a high near 43.
    • Saturday Night A chance of showers. Cloudy, with a low around 40. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
    • Sunday Rain. High near 52. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
    • Sunday Night Rain likely. Cloudy, with a low around 48. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
    Jet game could be a rain event by then...and real nightmare for Buffalo NY with all that snow on the ground...spells major flooding...temps all the way up to the 50s with rain? Hmmm.
     
  7. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    I would think that would be opposite JH. You are right im sure but the very cold temps and drier snow would be more of fluff factor but you are probably right because of the proximity to the moisture source? Not sure but cool fact.
     
  8. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Im going to take CBG up there for one of those events. Will need googles to protect me from the snow..and the saliva drooling from CBG.
     
  9. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    Brook you know me all too well my friend !
     
    Brook! likes this.
  10. BrowningNagle

    BrowningNagle Well-Known Member

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    Jay the bills play in Orchard ParkNY, which is the epicenter of this storm. The very worst area.by Saturday it's supposed to stop and rain like you say but what if the stadium is under 70 inches of snow!?!?
     
  11. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    ahhhh...you are dead on sir...Orchard Park...can you imagine? If that rain does happen with temps in the 50s..Im pretty sure inside should be playable...but that area? Should be interesting to say the least BN.
     
  12. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    updated the site with a possible noreaster for Thanksgiving. Something to watch out for. Less then 50/50 but only because of the days away.
    www.jaysweather.net
     
  13. Greenday4537

    Greenday4537 Well-Known Member

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    Seriously, I'm going to be upset with you if we get much snow this year. It'll totally be your fault. You are right more than most weathermen so I assume you have a way of controlling it.
     
  14. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    then be nicer to me buddy..lol...jk.

    Um..I guess thanks GD..but thats a hell of a lot of pressure. Still not sure about the amount of snow..but the problem is..and we talked about this a few months ago..the cold temps are here early..and should be for about 75% of the winter. Key ingredient number 1. Now...sometimes that suppresses storms to the south so places like philly and DC...Virginia and even N.C. could be the snow winners (or losers for those that hate the stuff).

    I dont know GD..its been 4 years since the last time we looked at the long term and thought it would be an off year for snow...and cant come out and say that now. When you have cold air in place...its playing with fire to think easy winter. Sorry bud..I for one could use a winter off without boring you why...I just think we might have a repeat of last year..or maybe a bit worse.

    One potential is this. Unlike last year when we had a series of snowfalls but not many huge ones...this could also be a winter of well below temps (pretty much guaranteed now) but not the constant barrage of storms...only to have a few of those...but lets say 3 bombs. 3 big storms with decent breaks in between. All matters where that track sets up this year and we will have a good idea by the middle of December I believe.
     
  15. Murrell2878

    Murrell2878 Lets go JETS!
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    This snow event is insane.
     
  16. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Keeping an eye on 2 potentials. They surround Thanksgiving. First one is Wednesday and this could be a bit of a long shot...but the one on Black Friday is perhaps one to watch.

    www.jaysweather.net
     
  17. JetsHuskers fan

    JetsHuskers fan Well-Known Member

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  18. Brook!

    Brook! Soft Admin...2018 Friendliest Member Award Winner

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    Nice Jay

    PS: Folks, please click on the adds if you go to Jay's site. :)
     
  19. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Updated the weather forecasts for all the games this Sunday and Monday. Still showing a potential storm for next Friday...too far out to go bonkers with but one thing is for sure..those poor people around Buffalo NY will be getting another big snow maker next Friday and Saturday.

    http://jaysweather.net/football-sunday-weather-predictions/
     
  20. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    The Wednesday night and Friday/Saturday storms are both showing up on overnight models..something to keep an eye on guys. Early in the season but with this much cold air lurking, no surprise.
    http://jaysweather.net/
     

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