Jay's House of Weather 'n Stuff

Discussion in 'BS Forum' started by jaywayne12, Dec 25, 2010.

  1. RPOZ51

    RPOZ51 Well-Known Member

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    Five Bells and All is Well.

    No flakes by me.

    I'm out.

    Goodnight Jay, and many thanks!
     
  2. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    One of the two blizzards that year: 1978..2 blizzards within 3 weeks.

    [​IMG]
     
  3. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    and find it..but how about the blizzard of 96. Remember when we talked about how it stalled off the coast of N.J. and just spun itself to death..no real movement north from then on..wow..:

    [​IMG]
     
  4. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Ok..back to this storm...will post some models now.
     
  5. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    RAP model..takes us out 18 hours..so lets say around 4pm tomorrow..with still major back end snow to come from central nj north:

    oops..wrong model..one second.

    [​IMG]
     
  6. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Have to say Philly on north with this over a foot that is now on two short range models..that strip runs just west of NYC. That is not the forecast guys. Thats a lot of front end snow before it changes to sleet and freezing rain and back to snow and you start to wonder if many in NJ are in a range of 10-20 now I95 and WEST.
     
  7. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    I mean yes...from just north of Trenton...a 30 to 50 mile strip up to western bergen county..that strip will continue into conn.

    That area is now in line for 15-20 if you asked me..maybe more in some localized areas.

    Again...that until late afternoon early evening...so that line will go into the lower hudson valley because that banding will stretch north and then east.
     
  8. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    Step out for 10 minutes miss alot,,,,
     
  9. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    so much for 3 to 6 huh :)
     
  10. Fred Mertz

    Fred Mertz Active Member

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    Well my school here on LI just announced a delayed opening at noon. I think that's ridiculous, but I can't just not show up.
     
  11. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    FIRST OFF..CONGRATS DREW ON THE CLOSING!!

    FM..they are going entirely on early snow and changing to rain in time for school..and quite honestly..maybe all rain by then? Ballzy move to say the least because it could be sleet and freezing rain by then? Totally rain?

    Do they ever have delayed opening and then decide to close?
     
  12. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    When we look at that one map..we wonder how accurate..so what we can do is look to the south and see how Virginia is doing because areas in VA have 18 to 24 AT LEAST projected on that model..and heres the deal...areas in central VA already have 8 inches of snow and its heavy snow right now..so in the check box...thats check one for accuracy.

    Amazing how much snow is falling in VA right now..and heading right towards CMAN and then central Jersey.
     
  13. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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  14. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    And one thing I was wrong about...the models had the snow starting out gangbusters for everyone...thats not the case..starts out light for the first hour before picking up in intensity.
     
  15. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    #5815 jaywayne12, Feb 12, 2014
    Last edited: Feb 12, 2014
  16. Fred Mertz

    Fred Mertz Active Member

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    I don't know what they're going on, but from what I understand most of Long Island expects a bit of snow and then rain. I'm sure they watch news12 or whatever BS weather girl is on the TV at the moment. Last storm they delayed to 11, then closed, so it has happened, but the one before that I stayed until 3 and a 30 minute commute took over 4 hours.
     
  17. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Dont get me wrong FM..it could go rain for awhile just before noon..but still..so many other things with this storm that dont make sense to be out in..but hey...NYC and L.I. beat to a different drummer.
     
  18. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    heard this from a different website:

    Lee Goldberg from WABC in NY just upped his NYC snow total to 10 inches. Said that new data suggested he bump up his totals.

    This will over perform.
     
  19. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    Jay how late u gonna be on ? and are u around tomorrow
     
  20. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    and the numbers continue to rise...so lets just stick with it for north jersey..12 to 18.....pockets of over 20...Lower Hudson Valley too..because this map only goes out to tomorrow evening 18 hours out: Holy crap:

    [​IMG]
     

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