Jay's House of Weather 'n Stuff

looking like 1 to 3 cbg...thanks bud. Really keeping an eye on this thursday storm. Be back in a few.

 

still there...will talk about it in a few.

FJF..i hear you..big difference is the time between this and the last one.

 

OMG...this is out of control....i was just going to post this. This social media shit is out of control...one second.

 

Social media in general sucks...it really sucks...I mean..this pisses me off so much. Look what this fucking jerkoff wrote. What a fucking jerkoff. Sorry about the language but this is what will eventually do many in one day.

SUPERSTORM OF 93?

There is not one model..not one model that has the dynamics..the setup..nothing..not one thing. Then he says the most reliable model..WHAT a bunch of bullshit. The two models that have a gigantic storm are the British and the Canadian. The Euro and the GFS have a very strong storm but they both show potential flys int he ointment.

Listen..this could end up being a huge huge snow storm for many...and this little prick might end up being right one time(from what I hear this is the same jerkoff that posted the 30 inch storm). So lets just get something straight here..there is no superstorm of 93 modeled yet and best models have a very big storm but lesser than the middle models.

Ok..here it is..lets move on..will post some pics in a second.




WARNING: Most Reliable Model Projecting A March 1993 like Super Storm Nor’easter For The Eastern United States ***

TheWeatherSpace.com) – The most reliable medium range model thus far this winter is projecting a track that of the March 1993 Super Storm Nor’easter up the East Coast Wednesday and Thursday of This Week, bringing widespread blizzard conditions as that one did, including severe thunderstorms capable of tornadoes across ...

 

Ok..thanks for bringing that to my attention FJF..sorry about the language. Was going to go back and edit but hey..thats how I feel. Superstorm of 93...go Google the Superstormm of 93 and see the dynamics for that storm. So many things had to fall into place..many people lost their lives in that storm.

Ok..now. This storm does mean business but it has a few flaws. It has a kicker storm out by the great lakes that could end up forcing it further out to sea.

Right now, the EURO has the storm off the Jersey coast and the Canadian has a 962..yes...962 low off the Jersey coast with winds over 60 miles an hour...but the Euro has the same storm..same position..but not much snow making it northwest from the eye because the storm by the great lakes is zapping the energy.

Quite honestly, thats a rare thing to happen. Give any kind of storm off the Jersey coast below 980 and you get a huge wind/snow/ storm. Now take that low too close to the coast and then you have a battle of temps..and have to count on the deepness of the storm creating its own cold air...has happened many times. Let me check the Nam and GFS..both have just come out...and one is coming out now.

 

Takes the fun out of what you try to do when you have an asshole out there not going by facts.

If you had one different asshole every storm making comments like that then one time you do get that storm..and that asshole gets his name out there for all to see. Thats not what this is about CBG...and having to battle down that person takes half the work of what we are trying to track because we first have to discount why what he is saying is a LIE..and then point out why and tell the truth. Really pisses me off.

Sorry...lol..lets move on...checking gfs now.

 

Great question CBG...will answer so it makes easy sense. When you watching that pretty babe from the weather channel and she shows you the weather map, on the map are some L's and H's. The H of course is for High pressure and the L is for Low pressure. Where you see the H and the L on the map signifies where the center of the H or L is.

When you see the L off the coast of lets say North Carolina, that is telling where the EYE or center of the storm is. They can tell where that is because that is the lowest pressured measured in that area.

Now that reading gives you how deep of a low..or a high..it is. A general storm under 1000 tells you have a decent storm. Under 990 ....to even mid 980's tells you have decent organized system.

Once you start getting into the the upper 970s to low 980s...you are of course getting a much stronger storm.

This storm has been modeled by several models to be below 970...now thats a very strong storm. It causes beach erosion to its northwest side because..as YOU GUYS SHOULD KNOW BY NOW..lol..COUNTER CLOCKWISE ROTATION RIGHT?

I checking now to see how low the GFS goes with the center. Hope that makes sense? Ask of it doesnt.

 

lol..FM...the meds..oh the meds.

Right now..the storm is centered..hold on..let me post a pic so what I wrote makes total sense to all. The you can see where Long Island is on the bubble of rain..and snow..but is going to have a beach erosion problem and heavy winds..hold on.

 

Ok, see the center off the Jersey coast? Thats a 968 low. I doubt thats the end game but you never know..thats very low. You can see the measured lines or circles around that..all measured higher as you go outside the low pressure. Those lines are isobars that the closer they are...the more wind you get. Very tight...tons of wind.

Now over the Great Lakes you see another storm..not as deep..but could end up being a kicker that kicks this thing further out to sea..and gives Long Island more snow..and Pennsylvania Lower Hudson Valley etc..less snow.

Now remember, looking at the center of the storm, the rotation is COUNTER CLOCKWISE. So the winds are coming in from the East in Long Island..and northeast every where else. Winds coming in from the East MIGHT bring in warmer temps..so there is the problem for Long Island.

Now if a storm is this deep, it creates its own cold air in many cases.

Bottom line is, we are still 4 days away. Still pulling models so give me a few.

 

Canadian model, British...Euro..every model has this storm as either a very strong noreaster or a huge damaging noreaster...except for the GFS American model that has it going out to sea.

Now, usually you just throw it out but its been doing pretty well this season. Still, with that much agreement everywhere else, you have to begin to think we will be getting a pretty good storm at least starting very late Wednesday and ending very late Thursday.

A mix of all the models would give everyone East of i95 AT LEAST 6-12..and those east of it the potential for the same..but having some models giving them a mix problem. Winds and beach erosion would be a very big problem too with some getting either near blizzard or blizzard conditions.

NOW...4 DAYS AWAY. I could be on here tomorrow laughing and saying all the models lost the storm....but this is close to have it completely lose it.

So the big question is does the GFS come around? Or do other models start to lean towards the GFS one at a time. Lets see tonight. Will be on around 1030 for the GFS.

 

and here the snow is coming down really hard...lol...still the models have no more than 1 to 3.