One area I was really excited about was the run game w/ Ivory. If he's healthy I think we can win a lot of games, if not it's going to be difficult to score.
well forget about game by game stuff - i think i am gonna stay with the 5-11/6-10 gig for this year (same as last year) however..... i am less sure about this prediction this year as compared to last year due to the ??? at QB and the possibility of having a better overall D and offensive line. so maybe 5-11/6-10 is absolute worst case scenario but the difference between 2 or 3 games is so minute in the NFL. 6-10 can morph into 8-8 with a few bounces/penalties. how about under .500. LOL
Vs The Bucs Loss At The Patriots Loss Vs The Bills Win At The Titans Loss At The Falcons Loss Vs The Steelers Loss Vs The Patriots Loss At The Bengals Win Vs The Saints Loss At The Bills Win At The Ravens Loss Vs The Dolphins Win Vs The Raiders Loss At The Panthers Loss Vs The Browns Win At The Dolphins Loss 4-12
Rather than game-by-game, I have two scenarios in mind depending upon QB. First off, I expect Sanchez to start. I don't want this, but I think it's the way it will be, at least at the start of the season. Mark is the incumbant and Smith is the rookie, plain and simple. The job is Sanchez' to lose, and the Jets will always go with the "whoever gives us the best chances of winning" bullshit. It's really more like, "whoever gives us the best chances of not losing too much." Idzik might make a bold move and overide Rex on the Sanchez start, there is that chance now, but I feel it's a slim possibility. They'll all come to the realization that it is easier (smarter) to start Sanchez and then bench him (if they have to) than it is the other way around. If you start Geno and then have to insert Sanchez, we are in for another hideous, ridiculous QB circus, one that will definately be detrimental to Smith's emotional and mental progress. And after all, he does have a reputation for, shall we say, letting his emotions overide common sense. I therefore see Sanchez starting for sure. And if there is a QB change at any time throughout the year, it will be a permanent one. It won't matter if Geno loses every game after the change, they will stick with him and ride it into a 3-13 season if necessary. So, here we go: If Sanchez starts, we are 5-11 or 6-10. If Geno starts, we are 8-8 or maybe 9-7 and POSSIBLY playoff bound. If Sanchez starts and is benched midway for Geno, we're still looking at the 6-10 or 8-8 range, because the expectation levels and the pressure on Geno will be too much for the rookie to handle.
I just don't know how anyone can say w/ mark we win 5-6 or whatever and w/ Geno 8-9. Maybe that happens but based on the fact that geno has never done anything and Mark has won in this league I don't know how anyone could say that.
It is all way too early and this is all hypothetical nonsense, mind you. But Mark has shown us all what he can do on the field, so I am basing this on past performance. Fluttering balls, promiscuously thrown balls, balls thrown behind receivers, poor mental judgement (throwing into crowds), horrible shovel-pass decisions, terrible ball control, fumbles, etc. I don't see any of that changing. We are doomed this year, a QB transition year for sure. Damned if we start Sanchez and damned if we start Smith. But put another way (and I know I won't convince you), I think we don't have much to lose by starting Geno, that's how little onfidence I have in our starting QB.
w/o dragging this down another path he's had one losing season in 4 years and that was w/ the worst group of healthy skill players we may have ever had(outside of maybe 1995) and a poor OL and run game. I expect the healthy guys to be better and the OL and run game to be better. If not I don't think it is reasonable to expect either QB to win a lot of games. I think our record will come down to 2 things- the QB limiting TOs and getting the run game going again. If those 2 areas turn up positive we can be a playoff contender, if not we could be as bad as most are predicting.
Probably finish just good enough for Rex to keep his job but just bad enough so Idzik can trade up to #1 and grab Clowny
Well, of course, the ideal would be the above. And with this (and perhaps a good or even better defense), all things are possible and the role of starting QB is diminished. With a solid run game and good QB protection and good special teams and a good defense, we will have to start the incumbant, no question. But I am basing my opinion on past performance and we haven't seen enough of anything yet, quite frankly, to go by anything else. That's why I say it is way too early. So my predictions are what they are with that caveat. This is all hopeful speculation at this point and nothing more.
Cimini blogged this yesterday at 3:30 PM: Empty stable: The current running-back situation isn't good. Chris Ivory (hamstring) still hasn't practiced, Mike Goodson isn't in camp (no one is saying when or if he'll show up) and Joe McKnight seems to develop a daily ailment, leaving Bilal Powell and John Griffin. Actually, Griffin has demonstrated some cut-back ability, but they'll need the big dogs to make this running game go.
he had no p and he was forcing some things, we lost for many reasons- he was one of them. That's one of the reasons I didn't offer a prediction yet, I want to see Ivory get healthy and if he is I will feel confident even w/o Goodson though I want him here catching passes. IF, a big IF given Goodson's situation, we have a healthy Ivory along w/ Powell and goodson we'll have a really good run game w/ what appears to be a much improved OL.
Vs The Bucs W At The Patriots L Vs The Bills W At The Titans W At The Falcons L Vs The Steelers L Vs The Patriots W At The Bengals L Vs The Saints L At The Bills W At The Ravens L Vs The Dolphins W Vs The Raiders W At The Panthers W Vs The Browns W At The Dolphins L 9-7 baby!
Okay, so I'm asking you to go out on a limb. If your above wish list becomes reality by Labor Day, who do you start and what are your predictions for W-L?
I am thinking 10-6. Pats x2, Ravens, Saints, Falcons, Steelers Of these, depending on offensive performance, about 2-3 games are winnable. [I am thinking Steelers, Falcons and Saints. Steelers D is getting hairy old. Falcons and Saints, Jets lost to them because Sanchez couldn't do shit. Not because Rex failed to contain Matt and Drew. With competent offensive output, these games can be had.] With even average offense, I don't see how Jets lose to Dolphins or Bills, or any team that doesn't feature HoF calibre QB [i.e. Peyton Manning/Tom Brady/etc] The prediction above assumes Jets offense performs pedestrian 15th or so. If Jets offense again shits the bed, the bets are all off. Jets are destined for Clowney pick.
