Hey CBG...gladly answer your questions. Millibars is a measure of pressure in the atmosphere. The lower the pressure, the bigger the storm. The higher the pressure, the drier. To put in perspective, any storm with a pressure reading below lets say 990 gets interesting. Now you can get 10 inches of snow with lets say a 1004 reading but a lower pressure usually means other things...more wind...atlantic moisture being thrown inland when a storm is out over the water etc. Now...those quotes I had last night was from the European model. This just in...the GFS, American model, has the samething. Huge storm rides up the coast and the only question would be IF THIS STORM VERIFIES..is the rain snow line. Where does that setup. Now..plenty of time to go wrong but if the Euro tonite shows the samething at 1am, this is starting to get very interesting. Very. Then you wipe off the table whether there will be a storm and start to focus on where...how much...wind?....speed?. I need to see at least a solid Euro tonite and the same thing at 1030 am tomorrow from the GFS. Its getting very very interesting.
I suppose it's too early to be asking when it would likely start getting bad on Sunday. I go into work at 6pm so hopefully after that.
Actually the particulars just came out UK. The worst of the storm is forecasted for Sunday morning/Midday Sunday. Now thats going to move around a bit. The totals? Now...this is a model..so dont shoot the messenger..but the totals for NYC are over a foot...like 15 inches. THIS WILL CHANGE. I do really believe that it will start well before your starting time UK...sorry.
A lot could change UK. I will say this..if the European model at 1am shows something close to what I just saw...its usually a promising..or unpromising look in to the future. Will keep you updated bud. Sorry...Im getting forgetful as I get older. No way a snow day for you?
Fifteen inches??? That has to change... lol There hasn't been near that amount of snow anywhere in reaching distance of the northeast this winter. *knock on wood* :smile:
I just started this job 3 months ago and don't have any time off built up yet so unless it just so bad that I can't get there I will be gong in. Luckily my route to work is all busy main roads so I will have that going for me.
ahhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh...ty Jil. I have to be very careful there. I rarely post but we had it out a bit. Doorman? TY TGG...I CAN VENT. Doorman is a fucking asshole. A real jerkoff. Doorman will sit there with his snide remarks and always be negative about a storm. He reminds me of...let me be very careful here..he reminds me of champ 2 years ago. Its always safe to say the Jets will never win another Superbowl because lets face it...you have really good odds right? Thats doorman. Do you know how hard it is to get a big snowstorm? Very hard. So when you are the pessimist you can pretend to be right more often than wrong. Thats him. A true dickhead. Wow..that felt good. AW will explode tonite at 1030 est. time. When you get there and follow the GFS at that time..it takes about a half hour for the whole model to play out. There might be an actual war..well...a weather war when everyone takes out their feathers and starts throwing them at each other...REALLY HARD. Bottom line is that the GFS is sticking with a major one foot storm. The nam...a 84 hour out only model seems to be going that way..but you cant tell because it does not go out that far. The EURO leaned that way..and now I expect will lean even harder tonite.
LOL...I know jetz...but thats what the models say. Now, it might change but will it go up...or down? This storm has the following potentials. The storm develops over the southwest. A piece of needed northern energy makes its way south but never phases...and the storm passes well south giving Virginia, NC and maybe Maryland a nice storm. or It phases over the southeast states and moves NORTHEAST...taking a track from Georgia..to the NC/SC border...and then out over the Atlantic but hugging the coast. That would give coastals a rain/snow storm...and 25 miles inland or about...a huge snowstorm all the way up to southern Mass. Further north? We shall see. Sorry about the work UK. That sucks. Lets root for a bomb and then you cant go to work. That can happen.
JAYWAYNE ---I luv this stuff and am enjoying this thread and me and the kids are hoping for snow----that said --> whats up with the local forecasters ? None of them have said it's going to snow Sunday ? I hope that you are correct and they wrong---keep the info coming thanx
whataya know! Just watched ch 7 and I quote " we are watching a storm for Sunday " ----props JWAYNE u were talking about it days ago!
It depends which model wins cman. One has a coast storm that really never gets cranking up the coast....which means nothing for the interior..starting to really doubt that model. One has the perfect benchmark placement and means snow/rain for immediate coast and heavy snow interior. One has a storm right on the coast which means rain for the coast...snow/rain just inland...and a huge snowstorm for the interior (40 to 80 miles away from the coast gets all snow..and tons of it). I just go by trends..because IM NOT A TRUE WEATHER GENIUS...but trends are 80% of the ball game. And because of that, we need another 24 hours worth of runs to see where this goes. Im just starting to get fairly confident that someone north of D.C. gets smashed. Now where that ends up is still up in air.
Again..thanks CBG...but its the future sites I go to. The only credit I can take is knowing bullshit from the real thing. That being said..if the models stay on course tonite...tomorrow should bring a bit more media attention. Will keep you updated and thanks!
Yeah Type...thats where this storm really gets cranking. Regardless of what we get here...you should get some of your needed rain. The big question is where does that storm go from your location...up the coast? Out to sea? or in between.
Tanx Jay. I'm roughly 170miles inland in SoCentral Pa. (York). They're pretty good on getting the roads treated before the storm and I do have snow days in hand to use so either way, I'm good to go.
