I would give the Dolphins the best chance out of the remaining 4 teams alive for a wildcard. Here is how I would rank them from best chance to worst chance. 1.Dolphins 2. Ravens 3. Jets 4. Jags
I thought the same thing. In fact, I agree with Carucci. I think the Jets are close, but still a year away.
Maybe I am missing something, but Miami is not that good. I give the Ravens the best chance to make the playoffs, with the Jaguars following them and the Jets and Phins the least likely to make it.
How do you get the Jets over the Jags? The Jags are up a game and hold the tiebreaker. In addition the Jets are more likely to wind up tied in the division with either Miami or New England and the other one in 1st place, both of whom own the tiebreaker against us and would knock us from wildcard contention before Jacksonville even became an issue. Purely from a wildcard point of view I would rate the teams as: 1. Broncos (no brainer as they are up one on everybody else at this point) 2. Jaguars (up on New England in tiebreakers, although they still have to play) 3. Patriots (up a game on the teams below) 4. Ravens (hold conference tiebreakers at the moment) 5. Dolphins (hold tiebreakers on the Jets) 6. Jets
it wasn't luck, but most fans still look at the Pats and Dolphins through 2007 glasses and can't grasp that the Pats aren't nearly as good as they were, and thus probably won't win out the rest of the season, and the Dolphins are much better, and probably won't lose out. at no point is anyone who is expecting that to occur dealing with the reality of the teams in 2009.
the Ravens aren't any better than the Dolphins. the D has been weak since day one, even when they were 3-0, and the offense isn't good enough to carry them. I'd take the Jags or Fins as more likely to make it than the Ravens.
Lol! The Jets are at .500 right now. So how come .500 is considered Bollinger like rather than Sanchez like?
I don't think the Jags are doing any better than 2-2 the rest of the way or even 1-3, they have the toughest schedule. I give the Jets a very slim chance to win out but a better chance then the Jags going better then 2-2. Assuming the Patriots and Denver get the division and first wildcard, I think the last wildcard will come from most likely Phins or Ravens. I also think the Phins have a pretty good shot at the division.
I don't think anyone is winning out, so even if the Jags go 2-2, at the worst that leaves everyone at a log jam at 9-7 for the wild card. if that is the case, who gets it? Fins if one of the Jags losses are to them, but if not, who gets the tie-break between the Jags and Ravens, because the Jets are out of it?
If all 4 teams finish tied at 9-7 it looks like the Jags would make it even if they lost to the Phins, if I'm reading this correct. Step 1Jets would get eliminated by step 1 which would leave the 3 teams left. Step 2 is not in play here because only the Jags and Phins played. Which takes it to step 3. Step 3 Jags get in with 8-4 conference record while Fins and Raven are 7-5 Three or More Clubs (Note: If two clubs remain tied after third or other clubs are eliminated, tie breaker reverts to step 1 of applicable two-club format.) 1. Apply division tie breaker to eliminate all but the highest ranked club in each division prior to proceeding to step 2. The original seeding within a division upon application of the division tie breaker remains the same for all subsequent applications of the procedure that are necessary to identify the two Wild-Card participants. 2. Head-to-head sweep. (Applicable only if one club has defeated each of the others or if one club has lost to each of the others.) 3. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.
he meant the backup coming in and going .500, not the starter. If Sanchez goes 8-8 its expected. If Clemens has to play out the season, and the Jets go 8-8, its a miracle.
interesting. Jags are clearly in the drivers seat at this point. puts it in perspective for anyone who wants the Jags to win this week, we would essentially need them to lose their last three to have a realistic chance of making it (unless we win out).
Why isn't Miami that good? We swept the Jets, split with the Patriots and almost beat both the Colts and Saints. If you saw the way we dominated the Colts most of that game Miami is better than people give them credit for. Chad Henne is 6-3 as a starter and getting better every week. If the Dolphins win out they take the division. I don't see the Patriots winning all of their last 4 games they way they have been playing lately. Brady is not at the top of his game. Miami has Henne, Ricky Williams, our stellar O-Line and our no name but workhorse receivers. We can win out I feel. I wonder why it's so hard for Jets fans to give Miami any respect after Miami took the division last year and swept the Jets this year.
^ the wildcat is a big reason why I couldn't respect the Fins. You didn't use it last week, and for that I give you great respect.
Why? You guys use it too? lol... It was a way for us to put our best players on the field, both Ronnie and Ricky. No real trickery, was just pure smashmouth football. What was so hard to respect about it?
I don't think it would be a miracle. The Jets lost games they should never have lost this season. They seem to be playing with a sense of urgency and have some momentum. Rex seems to be getting through to this team and they look to be playing good football. With the way they are running the ball and playing Dominating D. They could win out as long as they avoid turnovers regardless of who the QB is. They can beat anybody left on their schedule if they play Jets Football. Should be interesting to see where this team is at during the next few weeks.
